College Football betting picks against the spread Week 1 2020 In about 30 hours, the 2020 college football season kicks off. It has been a long wait. No other sport makes you wait more than eight. Aug 31, 2016 The Temple Owls (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS) are the easy teaser pick in this Week 1 affair mostly because they’re superior to the Black Knights in all three phases of the game! Temple averaged a respectable 29.7 points per game in 2015 (60th) while allowing just 20.0 points per game defensively to finish a stellar 17th nationally. The price you’ll typically pay on a two-team 7-point teaser is right around -120, meaning you will need to risk $120 for every $100 you want to win on that wager. The most common college football teasers are 6, 7 or 10 points. The standard is 2 teams for both 6 and 7 point teasers and 3 teams for 10 point teases. The point spread is altered by 10 points each way.The odds for this teaser are 1.3 to win 1.0 or -130, so we’re looking at $130 to win $100. Not all college football betting sites will offer ten-point teasers, and there will be a difference in the odds, depending on if ties lose or not. The principle though remains the same: the number of points chosen will be added to the point spread or total.

Whether you’re betting on football, baseball,basketball, hockey, or anything else, make sure to check out our top 10 handicappers list for all of your sports picks/betting needs.

So before we get into the strategy for making College Football Teaser bets, let’s break down what they are, exactly.

Teasers are a type of Parlay bet where the lines are moved in your favor.

In exchange for the sportsbook helping you by shifting the lines, the payout odds are going to be lessened.

You can make Teaser bets on either the point spread or on the Total, also known as the “Over/Under”, lines.

For our examples in this video, we’re going to be focused mainly on Point Spread Teasers.

Since this is a type of Parlay wager, that means you’ll be betting on multiple games as part of a single wager.

If you need to brush up on Parlay betting,you can find a link to our How-To guide on that in the description below.

You can also check out our guide to placing NFL Teaser bets by clicking on that link in the description.

While college football teaser betting offers a different strategy, we recommend watching the NFL guide video prior to watching this one.

The main idea of basic teaser strategy is to place teasers that go from a loss to a win on point spreads, which in the NFL means fully crossing 3 and 7 at the best odds possible.

While that works for the NFL, it’s not the same for college football.

In the NFL, the margin of victory for a large percentage of games ends up somewhere between 3 and 7 points.

The reason that that concept doesn’t work for college football Teasers is simply because the 3-to-7 point margin of victory is only about two-thirds as common in college games as it is in the NFL.

So how do we adjust? When our experts did some data mining, they discovered that two similar, but different subsets seem to work.

The first subset is betting underdogs that are in the +1.5 to +2.

5 range, where the betting total is LESS THAN 47.5.

The second subset is betting favorites that are in the -7.5 to -8.

5 range, where the betting total is LESS THAN 47.5.

The difference here is key, as it’s the addition of a Totals cap that helps make the increase in cover rate potentially profitable.

The idea is that games with a lower amount of projected scoring may be less volatile with margin of victory.

We do want to point out that data mining like was used to create those subsets can be dangerous when it’s taken as a sure-thing.

The sample sizes used to determine these numbers are not and can not be big enough to avoid potentially large swings based on year-to-year results and statistics.

There is an entire section of our article on College Football Teasers dedicated to this on our website that I’d recommend checking out, and the link to that is in the description.

If you really want to beat college football teasers, then a better method for the favorites starts with removing vig from the money line.

There is going to be a significant amount of math involved here, and a lot of numbers, so feel free to pause, rewind, and review if you need to.

There’s a no-vig calculator on our website that we’ll be using to help with calculating the no-vig odds.

Let’s use a hypothetical game between Ohio State and Michigan as an example.

Here, OSU is favored to win by 8 points, with each team at the standard -110 odds.

The moneyline, meanwhile, show the Buckeyesat -310 and the Wolverines at +280.

Using our no-vig calculator, we find thatthe no-vig moneyline is -287.27, which has a no-vig win probability of 74.18%.

That tells us that the market is giving OhioState a 74.18% chance of winning.

… From here, we look back to the point spread.

Ohio State’s spread was -8, so in our 6-pointteaser, we’d have them at -2.Our database shows about a 2.5% push ratein college football on a -1 spread, and a 1.8% push rate on a -2 spread.

Since we’d lose on a 1-point result, andwe’d push on a 2-point result, we have to subtract the 2.5, and half of the 1.8, fromOhio State’s market odds of winning.

That leaves us with a cover rate of 71.59%.

So what do you do with that number? Well, in that example, teasing Ohio State in a 3-team, 6-point, +180 teaser is considered “+EV”, while teasing them in a 2-team,6-point, -110 teaser is “-EV”.

Why? Because in order to break even long-term,you need a 70.

95% success rate on 3-team, 6-point teasers at +180, and Ohio State’s71.59% is better than that.

However, for a 2-team, 6-point teaser at -110,you need a success rate of 72.37% to break even, and the Buckeyes fall short in that regard.

Betting on Teasers is a pretty advanced technique,and you should make sure you fully understand them before attempting to place your first Teaser wagers.

College Football Teaser Picks Parlays

Make sure to read our articles on “NFL Teasers”and “College Football Teasers”, as well, for more information so you can have the best and most-thorough understanding possible before heading to your sportsbook or online betting site.

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Betting Overview – Tease Me With a Teaser

Joe D’Amico walks Don Best followers through this week’s Teaser bet…

You can get all of Joe D's BIG WINNERS at DonBest.com

Bang For Your Buck

As I said a few times in previous columns, I am not a big fan of teasers or parlays. However, you certainly get bang for your buck. This week on the college football slate, there are several teams that I feel offer value and somewhat of a safe play if you tease them up or down.

California +10 teased goes to +16

Turning the ball over and a defense that has been a doormat, Oregon just isn’t playing the type of football that warrants them laying big points. Especially against a Cal team which has improved with each passing week.

Indiana +14 teased goes to +20

At 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS, Indiana is money. Yes, they don’t have the best-run defense. And yes, they face one of the best rushing units in the nation. But this team has shown they can hang and even beat better opponents.

Texas Tech -27 teased goes to -21

At 0-8 both SU and ATS and losing by an average of 33.7 PPG, Kansas is officially the worst team in college football. Texas Tech has fallen way short of expectations and can get a bit of redemption here for themselves and their fans.

Oklahoma -22 teased goes to -16

The Sooners only trail the Cyclones in the Big 12. Spencer Rattler is putting up numbers like his predecessors while the defense has looked their best this season. They will keep the pedal to the metal all four quarters.

Illinois +13.5 teased goes to +19.5

Iowa does not own an explosive offense. And Illinois has developed a real ground assault, coming off outright wins at Rutgers and Nebraska (tallying over 600 yards rushing) and will keep this one closer than many think.

Alabama -29.5 teased goes to -23.5

In their final game of the regular season against a hated rival that mauled them a year ago, Mac Jones and the awesome Bama offense does a Win one for the Gipper as Saban has been dealing with Covid.

The Handicapper

Joe D’Amico is a third-generation race and sports personality. He boasts decades of experience beating the sportsbook and is a well known face in Las Vegas. He calls upon his impressive connections to maximise profits and minimise expenditure and can help you do the same. Take advantage of Joe’s picks and subscriptions at DonBest.com.

College Football Teaser Picks 2019

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